Presidential Election Results Forecast XI

Who would you vote for if the presidential election were held today?

A forecast for a presidential election involves predicting the outcome of the election based on various data and analysis methods. Public opinion polls are a primary source, including national and state-specific polls that measure voter preferences. The goal isn’t just to reflect current opinions but to project what’s likely to happen when the final votes or results are tallied.

Factors like campaign events, debates, or significant news events can sway voter opinions, requiring last-minute adjustments to forecasts. Interviewers report the probability of each candidate winning expressed as a percentage.

Survey conducted on a random sample of 3,000 people.

Below is a chart of support trends, which refers to the observable way in which people declare to transfer their vote over time. The graph shows the number of votes cast and does not include undecideds.